Nearly one year into his mayoralty, Vince Gray’s report card is in, and it’s not pretty. Kind of. A poll released overnight by Clarus reports sagging approval ratings for both the mayor and the D.C. Council.

There have been debates and forums, polls, candidate profiles, and high-profile endorsements. But how about some predictions as to who’s going to win the District’s mayoral contest? One blogger took an educated stab at it, and found that Vince Gray could well become the District’s newest chief executive.