The talk of the town this morning is the new Clarus poll, released this morning, which shows Vince Gray with a slight lead over Mayor Adrian Fenty as we head toward the stretch run. But in terms of the mayoral race, there’s little to glean other than what we already knew: the race is really, really close, and will likely turn on Primary Day turnout and, unfortunately, racial divides.

The basics: among all voters (501 Democratic voters were polled), Gray holds a lead of three percent over Fenty, clearly within the margin of error of +/- 4.4 percent. Gray’s lead is slightly higher among those polled who said that they were “very likely” to vote in September, 41 percent to 36 percent. In each case, there’s approximately 20 percent of voters who were undecided — something that could bode well for Fenty, considering that he still holds a sizable financial edge and can afford to run widely distributed advertisements as the race gets closer, like the one he released this morning.

After being asked who they would vote for among all candidates, Clarus asked participants to make a decision in a hypothetical two-way race between Gray and Fenty. Gray, who led by four points when Clarus asked this question in November, increased his lead to six (44-38). What sounds like good news, though, may mean that Gray could stand to lose more from the fringe candidates — and two percent in this race might just be a big deal.

There is also a huge racial split in the figures. Fenty hauled in a 42-point lead among whites, while Gray holds a 38-point lead among African-Americans. When it comes to favorability, the split is even more telling: 70/39 of African-Americans/whites find Gray favorable, while the same split for Fenty is 33/63.