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A new poll shows that a law that would offer illegal immigrants in-state rates to Maryland universities and another law allowing same-sex marriage are likely to be approved by voters in November, reports the Baltimore Sun.

According to the poll, support for the Dream Act has hit 58 percent, with 34 percent of those polled saying they’d vote against the measure. As for same-sex marriage, 51 percent respondents said they’d vote to legalize it, while 43 percent said they’d vote against.

The polling on marriage equality has been somewhat consistent over the past few months: in May, a poll found support at 57 percent, while an August poll put it at 54 percent. Republicans and African Americans are generally in the opposition, though support in the African American community has grown since President Obama endorsed same-sex marriage earlier this year.

Because of time zones and poll closing schedules, should Maryland voters give the nod to same-sex marriage the Old Line State will become the first state in the country where a referendum turned out in favor of marriage equality. Maine, Minnesota and Washington also have referenda on the issue in November.

The proposed expansion of gambling—which would bring a luxury casino to the National Harbor—is evenly split, with 45 percent of respondents saying they support it and 46 percent saying they are against. (The poll’s margin of error is 3.5 percentage points.) Proponents and opponents have dumped $24 million into that ballot question, more than both gubernatorial candidates spent in 2010.

The usual caveats apply, of course—the poll questioned registered voters, not likely voters, so turnout will be very important in deciding which way the issues go.