Update: The National Parks Service announced Friday that the cherry blossoms have reached stage four on their way to peak bloom—peduncle elongation.

The peak bloom date for the cherry blossoms at the Tidal Basin has been moved to a new range: March 21-24. That’s about a week earlier than the original peak bloom projection.

The National Parks Service announced the new forecast on Wednesday, attributing the shift to significantly warmer-than-expected temperatures and continued heat over the next few weeks. The Yoshino trees, which are monitored for peak bloom, reached the third stage of blooming—the extension of florets—on Monday, according to the #BloomWatch tracker.

This is, in fact, Washington’s seventh-warmest winter on record, with spring arriving 24 days early, per the USA National Phenology Network’s measurements of spring leaf out, one of the early biological indicators of the new season. Researchers have tied the early blossoming at D.C.’s Tidal Basin to broader signs of global warming.

If the NPS’ prediction holds, the 2020 cherry blossoms will outpace both 2018 and 2019 peak bloom dates (April 5 and April 1). The trees still have two more stages to go before reaching peak bloom, when 70 percent of the Yoshino trees have blossomed.

The District is bracing for a decline in tourism this spring, and that includes the National Cherry Blossom Festival, which typically draws more than 1.5 million visitors annually.

On Wednesday, organizers of the annual festival announced that several early events will be postponed or cancelled due to concerns about coronavirus. The festival was scheduled to run from March 20-April 14.

“It is a difficult decision and one that we do not take lightly,” Diana Mayhew, president and CEO of the festival, said in a release.

More from the National Cherry Blossom Festival:

• The Pink Tie Party on March 20, is postponed. The Festival is looking at future dates to reschedule. The silent auction fundraiser will still take place online.
• The Opening Ceremony on March 21 will not take place as planned at the Warner Theatre. The Festival is looking at options including live streaming the event.
• The Blossom Kite Festival on March 28 is cancelled.
• The Tidal Basin Welcome Area is cancelled.

This story has been updated with information about cancellations and postponements for the National Cherry Blossom Festival.

Previously:
This Is A Record-Warm Winter. What Does That Mean For The Cherry Blossoms?
D.C. Is Preparing For A Decline In International Tourism Because Of Coronavirus
The Cherry Blossoms’ Peak Bloom Is Expected At The End Of March